Liga MX U21
— Mexico
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Academia AGA Cancha 1
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.70)
1.30 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4% | 27.5% | 40.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Toluca U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlas U21 | 0 | 9.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlas U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Attack | 58% | 100% |
| Defense | 17% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlas U21 | Toluca U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 57% | 25% | 40% | 75% | 43% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 43% | 75% | 60% | 25% | 57% | 40% |
Form: Atlas U21: LWLLWWLWWLLWLLL • Toluca U21: WWWLLLWWLLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Atlas U21 | Toluca U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 10 | 20 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlas U21 | Toluca U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 93% | 73% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 67% | 47% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlas U21 | Toluca U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlas U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlas U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-2 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlas U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Toluca U21
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlas U21 = 1.10 (league 1.70), Toluca U21 = 1.30 (league 1.08)
| Toluca U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlas U21 | 0 | 9.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 40.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1