Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.53) 0.08 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.1% 28.6% 2.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
33.0%
0 - 0
26.0%
2 - 0
21.0%
Score & goals probability table
Castro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bezana 0 26.0% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.0% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBezanaCastro
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack56%44%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bezana Castro
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%0%38%75%0%38%
Draws25%25%25%25%50%38%
Loses0%75%38%0%50%25%

Form: Bezana: WLWDDLWL • Castro: DLWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Bezana Castro
HATHAT
GF total63914115
GF avg1.50.81.13.50.31.9
GA total189358
GA avg0.32.01.10.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBezanaCastro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%63%63%
1.538%38%38%38%
2.513%25%13%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBezanaCastro
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricBezanaCastro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBezanaCastro
Wins11
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—9-0—
Biggest losses—3-0—2-0
Goals For3291
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricBezanaCastro
Form38%62%
Att56%44%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bezana or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bezana = 1.27 (league 1.53), Castro = 0.08 (league 1.18)

Castro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bezana 0 26.0% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.0% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 2.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1