Serie A — Italy
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.25) 0.76 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.9% 26.5% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.7%
Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 10.7% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 12.0% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapoliComo
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack58%58%
Defense58%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoli Como
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%60%78%60%25%44%
Draws0%0%0%40%50%44%
Loses0%40%22%0%25%11%

Form: Napoli: WWWWLWLWW • Como: WLDWDDWDW

League goals

Metric Napoli Como
HATHAT
GF total97169312
GF avg2.31.41.81.80.81.3
GA total448336
GA avg1.00.80.90.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapoliComo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%78%67%
1.556%22%44%0%
2.533%0%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapoliComo
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricNapoliComo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricNapoliComo
Wins41
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-11-2
Biggest losses—2-1—1-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricNapoliComo
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total51.5%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Napoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.75 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Napoli = 1.48 (league 1.25), Como = 0.76 (league 1.06)

Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoli 0 10.7% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 12.0% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod4