Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Eduardo Guinle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.07) 1.40 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.5% 27.0% 63.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.0%
0 - 0
17.1%
0 - 2
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Niteroiense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Friburguense 0 17.1% 24.0% 16.8% 7.8% 2.7% 0.8%
1 6.2% 8.7% 6.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFriburguenseNiteroiense
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack13%60%
Defense53%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Friburguense Niteroiense
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%25%25%25%
Draws0%25%13%0%75%38%
Loses75%75%75%75%0%38%

Form: Friburguense: LLWLLDLL • Niteroiense: WDLWLDLD

League goals

Metric Friburguense Niteroiense
HATHAT
GF total1234610
GF avg0.30.50.41.01.51.3
GA total3698513
GA avg0.81.51.12.01.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFriburguenseNiteroiense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%88%75%75%
1.50%13%38%63%
2.50%13%13%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFriburguenseNiteroiense
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricFriburguenseNiteroiense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFriburguenseNiteroiense
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-02-3
Biggest losses0-13-11-3—
Goals For1123
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricFriburguenseNiteroiense
Form17%83%
Att18%82%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total29.3%70.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Niteroiense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Friburguense = 0.36 (league 1.07), Niteroiense = 1.40 (league 0.86)

Niteroiense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Friburguense 0 17.1% 24.0% 16.8% 7.8% 2.7% 0.8%
1 6.2% 8.7% 6.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 63.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1