Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Mourão Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.07) 1.17 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 26.4% 31.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.8%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Carapebus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Campo Grande 0 7.7% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCampo GrandeCarapebus
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack27%7%
Defense80%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Campo Grande Carapebus
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%50%25%0%50%25%
Draws100%50%75%50%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%50%50%50%

Form: Campo Grande: DWDDDDWD • Carapebus: WDWLLLDL

League goals

Metric Campo Grande Carapebus
HATHAT
GF total448044
GF avg1.01.01.00.01.00.5
GA total4264610
GA avg1.00.50.81.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCampo GrandeCarapebus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%38%50%
1.513%0%13%50%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCampo GrandeCarapebus
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score011415

Penalties

MetricCampo GrandeCarapebus
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCampo GrandeCarapebus
Wins11
Draws41
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—0-2
Biggest losses——0-23-0
Goals For1202
Goals Against1123

Model comparison

MetricCampo GrandeCarapebus
Form88%13%
Att80%20%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h75%25%
Goals75%25%
Total75.7%24.5%

Advice: Double chance : Campo Grande or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Campo Grande = 1.40 (league 1.07), Carapebus = 1.17 (league 0.86)

Carapebus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Campo Grande 0 7.7% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 31.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1