Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 13:00 • Azersun Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.23) 0.64 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 46.3% 37.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.9%
0 - 1
24.4%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 37.9% 24.4% 7.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.4% 8.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQarabagMil-Muğan
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack100%90%
Defense90%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qarabag Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
Played538549
Wins40%100%63%20%75%44%
Draws40%0%25%60%0%33%
Loses20%0%13%20%25%22%

Form: Qarabag: LWDWWWWD • Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDLDW

League goals

Metric Qarabag Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
GF total49134711
GF avg0.83.01.60.81.81.2
GA total213426
GA avg0.40.30.40.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQarabagMil-Muğan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%38%67%44%
1.550%0%33%22%
2.513%0%22%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQarabagMil-Muğan
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricQarabagMil-Muğan
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricQarabagMil-Muğan
Wins43
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-51-00-3
Biggest losses0-10-12-0
Goals For2523
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricQarabagMil-Muğan
Form62%38%
Att53%47%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.8%41.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Qarabag or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Bet365
Draw5.90 @ Superbet
Away12.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 0.33 (league 1.23), Mil-Muğan = 0.64 (league 1.12)

Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 37.9% 24.4% 7.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 12.4% 8.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 46.3% · Away win 37.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1