Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 13:00 •
WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.77)
0.28 (league 1.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.9% | 30.6% | 8.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.2%
0 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Budissa Bautzen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freital | 0 | 22.3% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.2% | 7.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SC Freital | Budissa Bautzen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 58% | 47% |
| Defense | 84% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SC Freital | Budissa Bautzen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 80% | 80% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Form: SC Freital: WLWWWWDWWW • Budissa Bautzen: LWDDDLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | SC Freital | Budissa Bautzen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 15 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SC Freital | Budissa Bautzen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 40% | 80% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | 50% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SC Freital | Budissa Bautzen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | SC Freital | Budissa Bautzen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SC Freital | Budissa Bautzen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 7-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SC Freital | Budissa Bautzen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Advice: Double chance : SC Freital or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SC Freital = 1.22 (league 1.77), Budissa Bautzen = 0.28 (league 1.72)
| Budissa Bautzen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freital | 0 | 22.3% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.2% | 7.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 8.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1