Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 13:00 • Shahr-e Qods Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.13) 1.57 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 19.9% 25.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Aluminium Arak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 4.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.5% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.6% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteghlal FCAluminium Arak
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack57%36%
Defense71%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.80 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esteghlal FC Aluminium Arak
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins33%40%38%50%50%50%
Draws67%40%50%25%0%13%
Loses0%20%13%25%50%38%

Form: Esteghlal FC: WDLDDDWW • Aluminium Arak: LLLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Esteghlal FC Aluminium Arak
HATHAT
GF total6612336
GF avg2.01.21.50.80.80.8
GA total538156
GA avg1.70.61.00.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteghlal FCAluminium Arak
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%63%38%
1.538%25%13%13%
2.525%13%0%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteghlal FCAluminium Arak
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricEsteghlal FCAluminium Arak
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricEsteghlal FCAluminium Arak
Wins14
Draws30
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-00-1
Biggest losses—1-00-14-1
Goals For3321
Goals Against3114

Model comparison

MetricEsteghlal FCAluminium Arak
Form41%59%
Att62%38%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total68.6%31.4%

Advice: Double chance : Esteghlal FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away7.60 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.44 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Marathonbet
No1.41 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal FC = 2.30 (league 1.13), Aluminium Arak = 1.57 (league 0.86)

Aluminium Arak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 4.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.5% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.6% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1