Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 19:45 • Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.52) 1.39 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 26.7% 42.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Charleroi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 8.1% 11.3% 7.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.1% 12.7% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStandard LiegeCharleroi
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack36%36%
Defense36%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Standard Liege Charleroi
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%33%33%33%
Draws33%0%17%33%17%25%
Loses33%67%50%33%50%42%

Form: Standard Liege: WDWLLLDWLLWL • Charleroi: DDLDWWWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Standard Liege Charleroi
HATHAT
GF total64107815
GF avg1.00.70.81.21.31.3
GA total891771017
GA avg1.31.51.41.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStandard LiegeCharleroi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%75%83%83%
1.525%33%25%50%
2.50%25%17%8%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStandard LiegeCharleroi
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricStandard LiegeCharleroi
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricStandard LiegeCharleroi
Wins13
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-12-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-23-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricStandard LiegeCharleroi
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Standard Liege or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ SBO
Under 2.51.78 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Standard Liege = 1.12 (league 1.52), Charleroi = 1.39 (league 1.22)

Charleroi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 8.1% 11.3% 7.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.1% 12.7% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 42.8%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1