Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 20:00 •
Stade Roger Lebert
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.96)
2.99 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2% | 8.2% | 81.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.1%
0 - 3
16.1%
0 - 4
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Strasbourg W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marseille W | 0 | 3.6% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marseille W | Strasbourg W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 38% |
| Defense | 38% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marseille W | Strasbourg W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 100% | 67% | 80% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
Form: Marseille W: LLLWL • Strasbourg W: DDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Marseille W | Strasbourg W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marseille W | Strasbourg W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% | 60% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marseille W | Strasbourg W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marseille W | Strasbourg W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marseille W | Strasbourg W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | — | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marseille W | Strasbourg W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 12% | 88% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.3% |
Advice: Winner : Strasbourg W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marseille W = 0.33 (league 1.96), Strasbourg W = 2.99 (league 1.34)
| Strasbourg W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marseille W | 0 | 3.6% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 81.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1