J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 05:00 • Ichigo Miyazaki Shintomi Soccer Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.39) 0.86 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.7% 24.8% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nara Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 8.4% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.6% 11.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiNara Club
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack88%31%
Defense56%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Nara Club
HATHAT
Played161632171633
Wins50%50%50%65%19%42%
Draws31%25%28%24%31%27%
Loses19%25%22%12%50%30%

Form: Tegevajaro Miyazaki: LWWDLWDDWDWWDDWDWWLDLLWWWLWLWWDW • Nara Club: DLWWDWDDLWWLDLLWWDWLDWWWDWLLDWLWL

League goals

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Nara Club
HATHAT
GF total262652301343
GF avg1.61.61.61.80.81.3
GA total191837152338
GA avg1.21.11.20.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTegevajaro MiyazakiNara Club
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%75%73%76%
1.544%31%39%27%
2.525%9%12%12%
3.513%0%6%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiNara Club
HATHAT
Clean sheets448628
Failed to score347369

Penalties

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiNara Club
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiNara Club
Wins33
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-54-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-00-23-0
Goals For4542
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricTegevajaro MiyazakiNara Club
Form59%41%
Att74%26%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Winner : Tegevajaro Miyazaki

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away3.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tegevajaro Miyazaki = 1.62 (league 1.39), Nara Club = 0.86 (league 1.12)

Nara Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 8.4% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.6% 11.7% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1