Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Francesco Baracca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.28) 0.43 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 23.3% 9.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
2 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Calvi Noale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 12.7% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 8.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMestreCalvi Noale
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack42%16%
Defense74%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mestre Calvi Noale
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%50%44%20%0%11%
Draws60%25%44%0%25%11%
Loses0%25%11%80%75%78%

Form: Mestre: DWWDLWDDW • Calvi Noale: LLLLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Mestre Calvi Noale
HATHAT
GF total7613437
GF avg1.41.51.40.80.80.8
GA total35810616
GA avg0.61.30.92.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMestreCalvi Noale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%56%89%
1.544%33%22%56%
2.522%0%0%22%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMestreCalvi Noale
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricMestreCalvi Noale
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMestreCalvi Noale
Wins20
Draws21
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-32-1—
Biggest losses—1-01-43-2
Goals For3322
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricMestreCalvi Noale
Form67%33%
Att73%27%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Mestre or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mestre = 1.64 (league 1.28), Calvi Noale = 0.43 (league 1.12)

Calvi Noale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mestre 0 12.7% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 8.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1