Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:30 • Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.28) 1.97 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 21.9% 52.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 4.0% 7.9% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0%
1 5.0% 9.8% 9.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.2% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSumqayıtAraz
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack33%47%
Defense47%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sumqayıt Araz
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins40%25%33%50%40%44%
Draws20%25%22%25%60%44%
Loses40%50%44%25%0%11%

Form: Sumqayıt: WWDLLDLWL • Araz: DWWWLDWDD

League goals

Metric Sumqayıt Araz
HATHAT
GF total82106814
GF avg1.60.51.11.51.61.6
GA total73108513
GA avg1.40.81.12.01.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSumqayıtAraz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%89%78%
1.522%22%67%33%
2.522%11%0%11%
3.511%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSumqayıtAraz
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricSumqayıtAraz
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSumqayıtAraz
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-31-00-5
Goals For4122
Goals Against3152

Model comparison

MetricSumqayıtAraz
Form40%60%
Att42%58%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Araz

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.01 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sumqayıt = 1.25 (league 1.28), Araz = 1.97 (league 1.14)

Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 4.0% 7.9% 7.7% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0%
1 5.0% 9.8% 9.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.2% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 52.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1