Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.25) 0.36 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 56.9% 23.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
51.0%
0 - 1
18.5%
1 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Amora
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 51.0% 18.5% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 5.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC CovilhaAmora
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack22%78%
Defense56%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Covilha Amora
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins0%20%13%25%25%25%
Draws67%40%50%25%25%25%
Loses33%40%38%50%50%50%

Form: SC Covilha: LLDDDWLD • Amora: WLDWLLLD

League goals

Metric SC Covilha Amora
HATHAT
GF total134628
GF avg0.30.60.51.50.51.0
GA total2686511
GA avg0.71.21.01.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC CovilhaAmora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%50%63%
1.50%25%25%50%
2.50%13%25%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC CovilhaAmora
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricSC CovilhaAmora
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSC CovilhaAmora
Wins11
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-00-23-1
Goals For1131
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricSC CovilhaAmora
Form60%40%
Att22%78%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : SC Covilha or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.06 @ Pinnacle
Away3.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Covilha = 0.31 (league 1.25), Amora = 0.36 (league 0.96)

Amora
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 51.0% 18.5% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 5.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 56.9% · Away win 23.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1