Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Match Finished

AVS

2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.37) 0.74 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.4% 41.0% 37.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.5%
0 - 1
21.8%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
AVS 0 29.5% 21.8% 8.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.2% 10.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAVSTondela
Played55
Form0%27%
Attack11%11%
Defense22%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AVS Tondela
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins0%0%0%0%20%11%
Draws0%20%11%50%0%22%
Loses100%80%89%50%80%67%

Form: AVS: LLDLLLLLL • Tondela: LLLDLDWLL

League goals

Metric AVS Tondela
HATHAT
GF total145224
GF avg0.30.80.60.50.40.4
GA total9132261117
GA avg2.32.62.41.52.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAVSTondela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%100%22%89%
1.511%89%22%56%
2.50%56%0%44%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAVSTondela
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score325347

Penalties

MetricAVSTondela
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAVSTondela
Wins01
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———1-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-33-0
Goals For1222
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAVSTondela
Form0%100%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h13%88%
Goals33%67%
Total33.8%66.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tondela

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 1xBet
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AVS = 0.48 (league 1.37), Tondela = 0.74 (league 1.25)

Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
AVS 0 29.5% 21.8% 8.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.2% 10.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.4% · Draw 41.0% · Away win 37.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1