Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 15:45 • Ticha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.34) 1.35 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 25.9% 37.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 6.8% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
1 9.1% 12.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCherno More VarnaLudogorets
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack27%36%
Defense77%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cherno More Varna Ludogorets
HATHAT
Played67136612
Wins50%43%46%67%33%50%
Draws33%43%38%33%50%42%
Loses17%14%15%0%17%8%

Form: Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWWDWLD • Ludogorets: WWWWDWDDWDDL

League goals

Metric Cherno More Varna Ludogorets
HATHAT
GF total1181913922
GF avg1.81.11.52.21.51.8
GA total6410369
GA avg1.00.60.80.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCherno More VarnaLudogorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%62%75%42%
1.538%8%50%8%
2.523%8%33%8%
3.58%0%17%8%
4.50%0%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCherno More VarnaLudogorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets235347
Failed to score033123

Penalties

MetricCherno More VarnaLudogorets
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCherno More VarnaLudogorets
Wins24
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-35-00-3
Biggest losses1-31-0—5-4
Goals For4354
Goals Against3115

Model comparison

MetricCherno More VarnaLudogorets
Form57%43%
Att43%57%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals70%30%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Cherno More Varna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cherno More Varna = 1.34 (league 1.34), Ludogorets = 1.35 (league 1.11)

Ludogorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 6.8% 9.2% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
1 9.1% 12.3% 8.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 37.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1