Serie A — Italy
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.24) 0.90 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 34.3% 36.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
16.9%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 18.7% 16.9% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaBologna
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack15%92%
Defense85%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma Bologna
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins25%0%13%100%20%50%
Draws50%50%50%0%40%25%
Loses25%50%38%0%40%25%

Form: Parma: LDLDWLDD • Bologna: LWLWDWWD

League goals

Metric Parma Bologna
HATHAT
GF total3037613
GF avg0.80.00.42.31.21.6
GA total347167
GA avg0.81.00.90.31.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaBologna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%63%75%63%
1.513%25%63%25%
2.50%0%13%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaBologna
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score246022

Penalties

MetricParmaBologna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricParmaBologna
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-0—1-0
Goals For2042
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricParmaBologna
Form35%65%
Att14%86%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bologna and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.14 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.62 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Unibet
No1.79 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma = 0.77 (league 1.24), Bologna = 0.90 (league 1.06)

Bologna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 18.7% 16.9% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 36.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1