Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.03 (league 1.60) 2.84 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 16.5% 32.1%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.3%
2 - 2
5.2%
3 - 3
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Venados FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%
1 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.3%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
3 1.3% 3.7% 5.3% 5.0% 3.5% 2.0%
4 1.0% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 2.7% 1.5%
5 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeones Negros UDGVenados FC
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack45%100%
Defense45%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leones Negros UDG Venados FC
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%33%33%33%
Draws33%17%25%50%0%25%
Loses33%50%42%17%67%42%

Form: Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLWLLW • Venados FC: LLLDWDLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Leones Negros UDG Venados FC
HATHAT
GF total11617121224
GF avg1.81.01.42.02.02.0
GA total9817121628
GA avg1.51.31.42.02.72.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeones Negros UDGVenados FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%92%75%92%
1.550%42%42%67%
2.517%8%33%58%
3.58%0%25%17%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeones Negros UDGVenados FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score134033

Penalties

MetricLeones Negros UDGVenados FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricLeones Negros UDGVenados FC
Wins23
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-34-33-6
Biggest losses2-32-01-34-1
Goals For4346
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricLeones Negros UDGVenados FC
Form38%63%
Att29%71%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total50.7%49.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Leones Negros UDG or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away3.95 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.38 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros UDG = 3.03 (league 1.60), Venados FC = 2.84 (league 1.06)

Venados FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%
1 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.3%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
3 1.3% 3.7% 5.3% 5.0% 3.5% 2.0%
4 1.0% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 2.7% 1.5%
5 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 32.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1