Serie B — Italy
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.45) 0.22 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.8% 41.7% 9.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.0%
1 - 0
29.0%
2 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 35.0% 7.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 6.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSampdoriaMantova
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack41%18%
Defense65%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sampdoria Mantova
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%0%10%20%0%10%
Draws40%40%40%20%20%20%
Loses40%60%50%60%80%70%

Form: Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDD • Mantova: LWLLLLDDLL

League goals

Metric Sampdoria Mantova
HATHAT
GF total6410617
GF avg1.20.81.01.20.20.7
GA total691513518
GA avg1.21.81.52.61.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSampdoriaMantova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%60%90%
1.510%40%10%40%
2.510%20%0%30%
3.510%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSampdoriaMantova
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score213044

Penalties

MetricSampdoriaMantova
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSampdoriaMantova
Wins11
Draws22
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-1—
Biggest losses0-23-11-52-1
Goals For4121
Goals Against2352

Model comparison

MetricSampdoriaMantova
Form75%25%
Att70%30%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total69.7%30.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sampdoria or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away4.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sampdoria = 0.83 (league 1.45), Mantova = 0.22 (league 1.08)

Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 35.0% 7.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 6.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.0% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 41.7% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1