Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 19:00 • Arena Fonte Nova
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.30) 0.84 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.3% 18.4% 12.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
RB Bragantino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahia 0 4.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.4% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBahiaRB Bragantino
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack70%30%
Defense60%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bahia RB Bragantino
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins73%20%47%40%27%33%
Draws20%27%23%27%13%20%
Loses7%53%30%33%60%47%

Form: Bahia: DDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDWWLLDLWLWLWWL • RB Bragantino: DLWWWWWDLWWLWDLLLLLLWLDLDDWLLL

League goals

Metric Bahia RB Bragantino
HATHAT
GF total261440191534
GF avg1.70.91.31.31.01.1
GA total102434222547
GA avg0.71.61.11.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBahiaRB Bragantino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%63%83%77%
1.533%30%23%50%
2.513%13%3%20%
3.53%3%3%7%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBahiaRB Bragantino
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311527
Failed to score055235

Penalties

MetricBahiaRB Bragantino
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricBahiaRB Bragantino
Wins35
Draws32
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-20-2
Biggest losses1-25-10-35-1
Goals For4342
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricBahiaRB Bragantino
Form69%31%
Att70%30%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h60%40%
Goals71%29%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bahia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bahia = 2.22 (league 1.30), RB Bragantino = 0.84 (league 0.84)

RB Bragantino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahia 0 4.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.4% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.3% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1