NWSL Women — USA
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 22:00 • Lynn Family Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.21) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 26.4% 30.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
11.0%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Louisville W 0 7.8% 8.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.6% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.8% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing Louisville WBay FC
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack47%21%
Defense63%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Louisville W Bay FC
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%38%36%23%8%16%
Draws25%31%28%23%42%32%
Loses42%31%36%54%50%52%

Form: Racing Louisville W: DLWLLDWWLWWLWLDDWDLLLWWDD • Bay FC: DWLLWDLLWDWLLDDLLLLDDLLDL

League goals

Metric Racing Louisville W Bay FC
HATHAT
GF total122234141226
GF avg1.01.71.41.11.01.0
GA total162238202040
GA avg1.31.71.51.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing Louisville WBay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%84%84%
1.540%48%20%56%
2.516%16%0%12%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing Louisville WBay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score325314

Penalties

MetricRacing Louisville WBay FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricRacing Louisville WBay FC
Wins21
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-1
Biggest losses1-44-21-44-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricRacing Louisville WBay FC
Form80%20%
Att69%31%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Racing Louisville W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away6.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Racing Louisville W = 1.41 (league 1.21), Bay FC = 1.14 (league 1.14)

Bay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Louisville W 0 7.8% 8.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.6% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.8% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1