Liga MX — Mexico
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.57) 1.23 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 30.0% 48.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.9%
0 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 14.5% 17.9% 11.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.2% 12.5% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachucaGuadalajara Chivas
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack80%100%
Defense30%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%50%43%47%
Draws0%50%27%13%14%13%
Loses57%13%33%38%43%40%

Form: Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDWWDLD • Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Pachuca Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
GF total7142115924
GF avg1.01.81.41.91.31.6
GA total8111912820
GA avg1.11.41.31.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachucaGuadalajara Chivas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%67%80%
1.547%53%53%33%
2.520%0%27%20%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachucaGuadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score314235

Penalties

MetricPachucaGuadalajara Chivas
Scored (total | %)3 | 75.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 25.00%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricPachucaGuadalajara Chivas
Wins44
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-31-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricPachucaGuadalajara Chivas
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total31.8%68.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca = 0.70 (league 1.57), Guadalajara Chivas = 1.23 (league 1.16)

Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 14.5% 17.9% 11.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.2% 12.5% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 48.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod2