Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 17:00 • Mustapekka Areena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.66) 2.54 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.6% 17.3% 62.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 2
7.8%
1 - 3
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
HJK helsinki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gnistan 0 2.4% 6.1% 7.8% 6.6% 4.2% 2.1%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.2% 7.8% 5.0% 2.5%
2 1.7% 4.3% 5.4% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGnistanHJK helsinki
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack56%50%
Defense25%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.414 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gnistan HJK helsinki
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins27%27%27%47%47%47%
Draws20%33%27%20%20%20%
Loses53%40%47%33%33%33%

Form: Gnistan: LLWLWWDDLWDDLDWLLDWDWLLLLWLLLD • HJK helsinki: LLLWDWWWWDWWLLWWWLWWWWDDDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Gnistan HJK helsinki
HATHAT
GF total212445413172
GF avg1.41.61.52.72.12.4
GA total303060272148
GA avg2.02.02.01.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGnistanHJK helsinki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%80%83%80%
1.550%70%67%43%
2.517%30%47%30%
3.53%13%27%7%
4.53%3%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGnistanHJK helsinki
HATHAT
Clean sheets336156
Failed to score437235

Penalties

MetricGnistanHJK helsinki
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total58

Streaks

MetricGnistanHJK helsinki
Wins24
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-58-20-4
Biggest losses0-46-21-43-0
Goals For3584
Goals Against4643

Model comparison

MetricGnistanHJK helsinki
Form80%20%
Att53%47%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h60%40%
Goals41%59%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gnistan or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ Bet365
Draw4.49 @ Pinnacle
Away1.83 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Pinnacle
No2.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gnistan = 1.18 (league 1.66), HJK helsinki = 2.54 (league 1.65)

HJK helsinki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gnistan 0 2.4% 6.1% 7.8% 6.6% 4.2% 2.1%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.2% 7.8% 5.0% 2.5%
2 1.7% 4.3% 5.4% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 62.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1