Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Ernesto Breda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.30) 0.66 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.8% 36.1% 26.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.7%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcione 0 21.7% 14.4% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlcionePro Patria
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack38%23%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alcione Pro Patria
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%0%20%9%
Draws20%33%27%50%40%45%
Loses40%17%27%50%40%45%

Form: Alcione: WLWDDWWLWLD • Pro Patria: LDLDLLDDLWD

League goals

Metric Alcione Pro Patria
HATHAT
GF total4812448
GF avg0.81.31.10.70.80.7
GA total44810717
GA avg0.80.70.71.71.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlcionePro Patria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%45%64%
1.518%9%27%64%
2.59%0%0%27%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlcionePro Patria
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score112426

Penalties

MetricAlcionePro Patria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAlcionePro Patria
Wins21
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-3—0-1
Biggest losses1-21-00-33-0
Goals For1322
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricAlcionePro Patria
Form54%46%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total59.2%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alcione or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.07 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alcione = 0.86 (league 1.30), Pro Patria = 0.66 (league 0.97)

Pro Patria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alcione 0 21.7% 14.4% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 26.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1