Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 20:00 • Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.36) 1.67 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.9% 24.1% 58.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 2
12.2%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
União de Leiria 0 8.7% 14.6% 12.2% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.7% 11.2% 9.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião de LeiriaChaves
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack47%40%
Defense60%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União de Leiria Chaves
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins50%40%44%25%50%38%
Draws25%40%33%75%25%50%
Loses25%20%22%0%25%13%

Form: União de Leiria: WLDWWDDLW • Chaves: DDDWDWWL

League goals

Metric União de Leiria Chaves
HATHAT
GF total56114610
GF avg1.31.21.21.01.51.3
GA total549336
GA avg1.30.81.00.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião de LeiriaChaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%88%63%
1.533%22%38%13%
2.522%11%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião de LeiriaChaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricUnião de LeiriaChaves
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUnião de LeiriaChaves
Wins22
Draws23
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-31-00-2
Biggest losses1-31-01-0
Goals For3312
Goals Against3112

Model comparison

MetricUnião de LeiriaChaves
Form44%56%
Att54%46%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : União de Leiria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): União de Leiria = 0.77 (league 1.36), Chaves = 1.67 (league 1.17)

Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
União de Leiria 0 8.7% 14.6% 12.2% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.7% 11.2% 9.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.9% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 58.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1