Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:45 • Kassam Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.32) 1.08 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 33.1% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.6%
0 - 0
19.9%
0 - 2
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 19.9% 21.6% 11.7% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.6% 11.4% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack33%25%
Defense67%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United Stoke City
HATHAT
Played57125712
Wins20%29%25%60%43%50%
Draws40%14%25%20%29%25%
Loses40%57%50%20%29%25%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLW • Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLW

League goals

Metric Oxford United Stoke City
HATHAT
GF total58136713
GF avg1.01.11.11.21.01.1
GA total6915358
GA avg1.21.31.30.60.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedStoke City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%83%67%58%
1.542%33%25%8%
2.58%8%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112235
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
Wins13
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-13-20-12-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
Form47%53%
Att57%43%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total52.6%47.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Oxford United or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Betfair
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away2.48 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betano
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betano
No2.00 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 0.53 (league 1.32), Stoke City = 1.08 (league 1.11)

Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 19.9% 21.6% 11.7% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.6% 11.4% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 48.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1