League One — England
Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:45 • Aesseal New York Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.41) 0.89 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 32.8% 32.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.4%
1 - 0
15.1%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 16.4% 14.6% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotherhamBurton Albion
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack70%60%
Defense50%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotherham Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%29%38%29%33%31%
Draws33%0%15%14%33%23%
Loses17%71%46%57%33%46%

Form: Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWW • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Rotherham Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total85135611
GF avg1.30.71.00.71.00.8
GA total6101610616
GA avg1.01.41.21.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotherhamBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%54%62%
1.531%38%23%31%
2.50%8%8%23%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotherhamBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score134516

Penalties

MetricRotherhamBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricRotherhamBurton Albion
Wins11
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-00-43-2
Goals For2232
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricRotherhamBurton Albion
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Burton Albion and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Unibet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rotherham = 0.92 (league 1.41), Burton Albion = 0.89 (league 1.12)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 16.4% 14.6% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 32.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1