Super League — Zambia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Nakambala Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.03) 0.42 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 40.9% 18.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.2%
1 - 0
23.6%
0 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
ZESCO United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Man Utd Zambia Academy 0 30.2% 12.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 9.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMan Utd Zambia AcademyZESCO United
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack67%100%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Man Utd Zambia Academy ZESCO United
HATHAT
Played5510347
Wins40%60%50%67%25%43%
Draws40%0%20%33%0%14%
Loses20%40%30%0%75%43%

Form: Man Utd Zambia Academy: DWWWLLDWWL • ZESCO United: WDWWLLL

League goals

Metric Man Utd Zambia Academy ZESCO United
HATHAT
GF total4489211
GF avg0.80.80.83.00.51.6
GA total325145
GA avg0.60.40.50.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMan Utd Zambia AcademyZESCO United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%40%71%57%
1.520%10%29%14%
2.510%0%29%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMan Utd Zambia AcademyZESCO United
HATHAT
Clean sheets336213
Failed to score325022

Penalties

MetricMan Utd Zambia AcademyZESCO United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMan Utd Zambia AcademyZESCO United
Wins32
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-25-00-1
Biggest losses0-11-0—2-1
Goals For3251
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricMan Utd Zambia AcademyZESCO United
Form54%46%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or ZESCO United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.65 @ 10Bet
Away2.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Superbet
No1.53 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Man Utd Zambia Academy = 0.78 (league 1.03), ZESCO United = 0.42 (league 0.72)

ZESCO United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Man Utd Zambia Academy 0 30.2% 12.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 9.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 40.9% · Away win 18.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1