J1 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 07:00 • Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.33) 0.74 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.8% 22.4% 14.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nagoya Grampus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kashiwa Reysol 0 7.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 10.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack100%36%
Defense64%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Nagoya Grampus
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins59%44%51%39%18%29%
Draws29%39%34%28%29%29%
Loses12%17%14%33%53%43%

Form: Kashiwa Reysol: WDWWLDDDWDWDWWWWLDLWDWWLWLWWDDDDWWW • Nagoya Grampus: LDLLDLWWLLWLLWDDDWWLDWDLLLLDWWDLWDL

League goals

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Nagoya Grampus
HATHAT
GF total253055261642
GF avg1.51.71.61.40.91.2
GA total151833252752
GA avg0.91.00.91.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%51%74%80%
1.543%23%34%46%
2.514%17%11%14%
3.59%3%0%9%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
HATHAT
Clean sheets9817437
Failed to score224459

Penalties

MetricKashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricKashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
Wins42
Draws43
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-53-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-44-0
Goals For4533
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricKashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
Form69%31%
Att75%25%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Winner : Kashiwa Reysol

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ Unibet
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away5.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kashiwa Reysol = 1.81 (league 1.33), Nagoya Grampus = 0.74 (league 1.10)

Nagoya Grampus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kashiwa Reysol 0 7.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 10.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.8% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 14.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1