Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:00 •
National Stadium Vasil Levski
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.71)
0.68 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.0% | 25.8% | 16.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Septemvri Sofia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Septemvri Simitli | 0 | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 64% | 29% |
| Defense | 43% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| Wins | 25% | 29% | 27% | 50% | 11% | 27% |
| Draws | 50% | 29% | 40% | 33% | 11% | 20% |
| Loses | 25% | 43% | 33% | 17% | 78% | 53% |
Form: Septemvri Simitli: WDDDDLLDLWLDWLW • Septemvri Sofia II: LWWWLWLLLLDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 16 | 22 | 6 | 23 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 67% | 67% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 40% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Septemvri Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 69.2% | 30.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Septemvri Simitli or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Simitli = 1.52 (league 1.71), Septemvri Sofia II = 0.68 (league 1.17)
| Septemvri Sofia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Septemvri Simitli | 0 | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.0% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 16.7%
Vtot 2 , Vtod2