FA WSL — England
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:00 • Old Trafford
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.75) 0.21 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 64.5% 14.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
60.8%
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 60.8% 12.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.7% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester United WAston Villa W
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack48%33%
Defense81%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
Played347336
Wins33%100%71%0%33%17%
Draws67%0%29%67%67%67%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%17%

Form: Manchester United W: WWDWDWW • Aston Villa W: DLDWDD

League goals

Metric Manchester United W Aston Villa W
HATHAT
GF total51419437
GF avg1.73.52.71.31.01.2
GA total145617
GA avg0.31.00.72.00.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester United WAston Villa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%67%50%
1.571%14%33%33%
2.557%0%17%33%
3.543%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester United WAston Villa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricManchester United WAston Villa W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricManchester United WAston Villa W
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-5—0-2
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For4532
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricManchester United WAston Villa W
Form65%35%
Att59%41%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester United W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Unibet
Draw5.50 @ Bet365
Away8.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Manchester United W = 0.29 (league 1.75), Aston Villa W = 0.21 (league 1.46)

Aston Villa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 60.8% 12.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.7% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 64.5% · Away win 14.3%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1