Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:30 •
Gradski stadion
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.91)
0.66 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4% | 11.2% | 5.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
11.5%
4 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Maritsa Plovdiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 80% |
| Attack | 92% | 100% |
| Defense | 67% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 100% | 71% | 86% | 88% | 83% | 86% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 0% | 29% | 14% | 0% | 17% | 7% |
Form: Nesebar: LWWWWWWWWWWWLW • Maritsa Plovdiv: WWWDWWWWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 12 | 45 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| GF avg | 4.7 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nesebar | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 57% | 93% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 86% | 7% | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 57% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 36% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 9 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Nesebar or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nesebar = 2.95 (league 1.91), Maritsa Plovdiv = 0.66 (league 1.13)
| Maritsa Plovdiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.4% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 5.6%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1