Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 13:00 • Stadiumi Liri Ballabani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.31) 1.53 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.7% 25.6% 59.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.0%
0 - 2
13.8%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burreli 0 11.7% 18.0% 13.8% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.0% 8.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.2% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurreliPogradeci
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack25%63%
Defense38%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burreli Pogradeci
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins50%17%30%50%50%50%
Draws25%50%40%17%50%30%
Loses25%33%30%33%0%20%

Form: Burreli: LWDWDLWLDD • Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWW

League goals

Metric Burreli Pogradeci
HATHAT
GF total4598614
GF avg1.00.80.91.31.51.4
GA total41115437
GA avg1.01.81.50.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurreliPogradeci
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%70%70%50%
1.540%40%40%10%
2.50%30%20%10%
3.50%10%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurreliPogradeci
HATHAT
Clean sheets213415
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricBurreliPogradeci
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBurreliPogradeci
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-01-3
Biggest losses0-34-02-3—
Goals For2243
Goals Against3431

Model comparison

MetricBurreliPogradeci
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h80%20%
Goals70%30%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pogradeci

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away1.91 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ William Hill
No1.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Burreli = 0.61 (league 1.31), Pogradeci = 1.53 (league 0.98)

Pogradeci
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burreli 0 11.7% 18.0% 13.8% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.0% 8.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.2% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 59.3%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1