Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:00 • Richmond Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.71) 0.21 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.9% 38.1% 8.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.6%
1 - 0
29.8%
2 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carmarthen Town 0 31.6% 6.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.8% 6.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack23%27%
Defense95%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carmarthen Town Trethomas Bluebirds
HATHAT
Played75127512
Wins57%40%50%29%0%17%
Draws43%40%42%29%60%42%
Loses0%20%8%43%40%42%

Form: Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDDWW • Trethomas Bluebirds: LDLWDLWDDDLL

League goals

Metric Carmarthen Town Trethomas Bluebirds
HATHAT
GF total681412517
GF avg0.91.61.21.71.01.4
GA total24615924
GA avg0.30.80.52.11.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%33%83%100%
1.525%8%33%58%
2.58%8%17%25%
3.58%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
HATHAT
Clean sheets538000
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricCarmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCarmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
Wins21
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-44-1—
Biggest losses—3-10-53-0
Goals For2442
Goals Against1353

Model comparison

MetricCarmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
Form79%21%
Att45%55%
Def91%9%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total72.5%27.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Carmarthen Town or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away5.76 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carmarthen Town = 0.94 (league 1.71), Trethomas Bluebirds = 0.21 (league 1.44)

Trethomas Bluebirds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carmarthen Town 0 31.6% 6.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.8% 6.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 8.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1