Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • The Tarmac Silverlands Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
3.01 (league 1.53) 1.11 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.0% 13.7% 10.7%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.4% 8.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 8.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuxtonChester
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack72%39%
Defense72%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buxton Chester
HATHAT
Played86148614
Wins63%33%50%25%17%21%
Draws0%33%14%63%33%50%
Loses38%33%36%13%50%29%

Form: Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWWL • Chester: WLDLWLDDDDDWLD

League goals

Metric Buxton Chester
HATHAT
GF total1892712618
GF avg2.31.51.91.51.01.3
GA total11920111223
GA avg1.41.51.41.42.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuxtonChester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%79%86%93%
1.557%57%36%50%
2.514%7%7%14%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuxtonChester
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricBuxtonChester
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBuxtonChester
Wins41
Draws15
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-23-20-2
Biggest losses2-32-11-24-0
Goals For6232
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricBuxtonChester
Form67%33%
Att65%35%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%63%
Total56.7%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Buxton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buxton = 3.01 (league 1.53), Chester = 1.11 (league 1.26)

Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.4% 8.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 8.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.6% 6.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.0% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 10.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1