Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:00 •
Stade Eric Cantona
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.55)
1.31 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8% | 29.0% | 58.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.5%
0 - 0
17.3%
0 - 2
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Castanet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alberes Argelès | 0 | 17.3% | 22.5% | 14.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alberes Argelès | Castanet |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 36% | 43% |
| Defense | 36% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alberes Argelès | Castanet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Draws | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
Form: Alberes Argelès: LLDDDL • Castanet: WLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Alberes Argelès | Castanet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alberes Argelès | Castanet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 83% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alberes Argelès | Castanet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alberes Argelès | Castanet |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alberes Argelès | Castanet |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alberes Argelès | Castanet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 35.3% | 64.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Castanet
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alberes Argelès = 0.45 (league 1.55), Castanet = 1.31 (league 1.23)
| Castanet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alberes Argelès | 0 | 17.3% | 22.5% | 14.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 58.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1