Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Joaquim de Almeida Flores
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.07)
0.09 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.8% | 69.5% | 6.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
67.6%
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Friburguense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nova Cidade | 0 | 67.6% | 6.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nova Cidade | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 7% |
| Attack | 44% | 22% |
| Defense | 67% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
40%
FT probability
2.5+
28%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
45%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nova Cidade | Friburguense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 60% | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
Form: Nova Cidade: LDDWLWDLDW • Friburguense: LLWLLDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Nova Cidade | Friburguense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nova Cidade | Friburguense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 40% | 30% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nova Cidade | Friburguense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nova Cidade | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nova Cidade | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nova Cidade | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89% | 11% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Nova Cidade or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nova Cidade = 0.30 (league 1.07), Friburguense = 0.09 (league 0.86)
| Friburguense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nova Cidade | 0 | 67.6% | 6.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 69.5% · Away win 6.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1