Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 18:30 •
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.11)
0.63 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.8% | 37.7% | 26.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Sacachispas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Merlo | 0 | 24.0% | 15.2% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportivo Merlo | Sacachispas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 20% | 27% |
| Defense | 67% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportivo Merlo | Sacachispas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 19 | 38 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 26% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
| Draws | 37% | 42% | 39% | 55% | 32% | 44% |
| Loses | 37% | 37% | 37% | 25% | 47% | 36% |
Form: Deportivo Merlo: LLWDDDWWWLLWDLDWDDLWLWLDLDDLDLWLDLLDDD • Sacachispas: DDLLDDLDDLWDLDLLLDLWDDLWWDDLWDDWDLLLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Deportivo Merlo | Sacachispas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 17 | 22 | 39 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportivo Merlo | Sacachispas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 68% | 62% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 26% | 18% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 8% | 5% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportivo Merlo | Sacachispas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportivo Merlo | Sacachispas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportivo Merlo | Sacachispas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportivo Merlo | Sacachispas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Merlo or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Merlo = 0.79 (league 1.11), Sacachispas = 0.63 (league 0.85)
| Sacachispas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Merlo | 0 | 24.0% | 15.2% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 37.7% · Away win 26.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1