Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 21:00 • Estádio São Januário
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.89 (league 1.33) 0.92 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.3% 13.4% 9.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.2%
3 - 0
8.9%
2 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vasco DA Gama 0 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.4% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 8.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.9% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
4 6.4% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVasco DA GamaJuventude
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack70%40%
Defense50%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vasco DA Gama Juventude
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins44%31%38%38%13%25%
Draws25%13%19%19%13%16%
Loses31%56%44%44%75%59%

Form: Vasco DA Gama: WLWLDLLLWLLWLDDLDWLLWDDWWLWWWWLL • Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLDDLLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Vasco DA Gama Juventude
HATHAT
GF total25244917926
GF avg1.61.51.51.10.60.8
GA total202646193958
GA avg1.31.61.41.22.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVasco DA GamaJuventude
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%78%56%78%
1.547%47%25%53%
2.525%19%0%28%
3.56%0%0%13%
4.53%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVasco DA GamaJuventude
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score55105914

Penalties

MetricVasco DA GamaJuventude
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricVasco DA GamaJuventude
Wins41
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-62-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-36-0
Goals For4622
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricVasco DA GamaJuventude
Form60%40%
Att64%36%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h13%88%
Goals17%83%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Winner : Vasco DA Gama

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.50 @ 188Bet
Away7.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vasco DA Gama = 2.89 (league 1.33), Juventude = 0.92 (league 0.85)

Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vasco DA Gama 0 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.4% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 8.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.9% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
4 6.4% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 9.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1