Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 18:00 •
Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.92)
3.75 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1% | 5.8% | 74.4% |
best score tips
0 - 3
12.3%
0 - 4
11.5%
0 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lyon W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier W | 0 | 1.4% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 100% |
| Attack | 63% | 100% |
| Defense | 38% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 23 | 4.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lyon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Montpellier W: LLLWWL • Lyon W: WWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lyon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montpellier W | Lyon W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 83% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lyon W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 6-1 | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montpellier W | Lyon W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 11% | 89% |
| Total | 21.2% | 78.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Lyon W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montpellier W = 0.52 (league 1.92), Lyon W = 3.75 (league 1.33)
| Lyon W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier W | 0 | 1.4% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 5.8% · Away win 74.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1