Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 19:00 • Soevereinstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.37) 2.18 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.5% 17.3% 71.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.0%
0 - 1
13.8%
0 - 3
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Waasland-beveren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 6.3% 13.8% 15.0% 10.9% 5.9% 2.6%
1 3.7% 8.0% 8.7% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.1% 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLommel UnitedWaasland-beveren
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lommel United Waasland-beveren
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins40%43%42%100%83%92%
Draws0%57%33%0%17%8%
Loses60%0%25%0%0%0%

Form: Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLD • Waasland-beveren: WWWWWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Lommel United Waasland-beveren
HATHAT
GF total81624111526
GF avg1.62.32.01.82.52.2
GA total61117336
GA avg1.21.61.40.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLommel UnitedWaasland-beveren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%100%50%
1.567%50%75%0%
2.542%17%25%0%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLommel UnitedWaasland-beveren
HATHAT
Clean sheets134336
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricLommel UnitedWaasland-beveren
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLommel UnitedWaasland-beveren
Wins29
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-5
Biggest losses1-2———
Goals For3435
Goals Against2411

Model comparison

MetricLommel UnitedWaasland-beveren
Form28%72%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Waasland-beveren

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lommel United = 0.58 (league 1.37), Waasland-beveren = 2.18 (league 1.38)

Waasland-beveren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 6.3% 13.8% 15.0% 10.9% 5.9% 2.6%
1 3.7% 8.0% 8.7% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.1% 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 71.8%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1