Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 20:00 •
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.96)
2.99 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.7% | 15.6% | 58.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
1 - 3
7.4%
2 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Marseille W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dijon W | 0 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dijon W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 50% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dijon W | Marseille W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: Dijon W: LWLLDW • Marseille W: LLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Dijon W | Marseille W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dijon W | Marseille W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 17% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dijon W | Marseille W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dijon W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dijon W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dijon W | Marseille W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 56.2% | 43.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Dijon W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Dijon W = 1.53 (league 1.96), Marseille W = 2.99 (league 1.34)
| Marseille W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dijon W | 0 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 58.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1