Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio El Hogar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.52) 0.31 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.9% 15.7% 4.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.9%
1 - 0
18.9%
3 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Canamy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 9.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.9% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 6.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.0% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosSporting Canamy
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack50%79%
Defense36%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros Sporting Canamy
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%0%40%40%40%40%
Draws20%0%10%40%40%40%
Loses0%100%50%20%20%20%

Form: Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWL • Sporting Canamy: LLDDDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros Sporting Canamy
HATHAT
GF total104145914
GF avg2.00.81.41.01.81.4
GA total110114812
GA avg0.22.01.10.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGavilanes FC MatamorosSporting Canamy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%80%80%
1.540%20%30%30%
2.520%20%20%10%
3.510%10%10%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosSporting Canamy
HATHAT
Clean sheets404202
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosSporting Canamy
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosSporting Canamy
Wins12
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0—2-11-3
Biggest losses—3-11-22-0
Goals For5324
Goals Against1423

Model comparison

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosSporting Canamy
Form32%68%
Att39%61%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total51.6%48.4%

Advice: Double chance : Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away5.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Unibet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 2.11 (league 1.52), Sporting Canamy = 0.31 (league 1.18)

Sporting Canamy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 9.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.9% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 6.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.0% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.9% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 4.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1