J1 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 05:00 • New National Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.33) 0.82 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 27.8% 22.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Tokyo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machida Zelvia 0 11.2% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 12.6% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMachida ZelviaFC Tokyo
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack27%64%
Defense73%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Machida Zelvia FC Tokyo
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%44%46%44%24%34%
Draws18%33%26%17%35%26%
Loses35%22%29%39%41%40%

Form: Machida Zelvia: LWLWWWDWDLLLWLLDWDLWWWWWWWWDLDDWLDD • FC Tokyo: WLWLDLLDLDDWLWWLLLDLWWLWLDLDWWWLDDW

League goals

Metric Machida Zelvia FC Tokyo
HATHAT
GF total232649221739
GF avg1.41.41.41.21.01.1
GA total161935252247
GA avg0.91.11.01.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMachida ZelviaFC Tokyo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%60%60%74%
1.546%29%34%40%
2.517%6%17%17%
3.53%3%0%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMachida ZelviaFC Tokyo
HATHAT
Clean sheets7714549
Failed to score5497714

Penalties

MetricMachida ZelviaFC Tokyo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricMachida ZelviaFC Tokyo
Wins83
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-30-43-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricMachida ZelviaFC Tokyo
Form43%57%
Att30%70%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total56.6%43.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Machida Zelvia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away4.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Betano
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Machida Zelvia = 1.37 (league 1.33), FC Tokyo = 0.82 (league 1.10)

FC Tokyo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machida Zelvia 0 11.2% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 12.6% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 22.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1