Esiliiga A
— Estonia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 10:30 •
Sportland Arena
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 2.04)
1.37 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.4% | 23.7% | 30.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Tartu Welco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Flora II | 0 | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Flora II | Tartu Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 37% | 74% |
| Defense | 53% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Flora II | Tartu Welco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 18 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 50% | 28% | 38% | 50% | 53% | 51% |
| Draws | 25% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 24% | 23% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 28% | 24% | 26% |
Form: Flora II: WWDLLDDWDWWLLLDLDWLLLWDWWWDLWWLWLL • Tartu Welco: WDLWWDWWWWDWDWLLWWWLLWWLWLDLDDLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Flora II | Tartu Welco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 22 | 59 | 37 | 38 | 75 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 33 | 50 | 29 | 26 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Flora II | Tartu Welco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 68% | 94% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 63% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 18% | 40% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Flora II | Tartu Welco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Flora II | Tartu Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Flora II | Tartu Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 1-4 | 5-2 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 2-5 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 9 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Flora II | Tartu Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 48% | 52% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tartu Welco and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Flora II = 1.69 (league 2.04), Tartu Welco = 1.37 (league 1.77)
| Tartu Welco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Flora II | 0 | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 30.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1