Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio El Rubial
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.21) 0.65 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 29.9% 19.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Melilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águilas 0 15.0% 9.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÁguilasMelilla
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack55%55%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Águilas Melilla
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%40%0%22%
Draws25%40%33%60%25%44%
Loses25%20%22%0%75%33%

Form: Águilas: WDDLWWDWL • Melilla: WLDLDDWLD

League goals

Metric Águilas Melilla
HATHAT
GF total46107310
GF avg1.01.21.11.40.81.1
GA total3474610
GA avg0.80.80.80.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÁguilasMelilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%67%78%
1.522%11%44%22%
2.511%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÁguilasMelilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricÁguilasMelilla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricÁguilasMelilla
Wins21
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-0
Biggest losses1-21-03-2
Goals For2322
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricÁguilasMelilla
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total50.5%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Águilas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 10Bet
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away5.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ Superbet
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Águilas = 1.24 (league 1.21), Melilla = 0.65 (league 0.98)

Melilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águilas 0 15.0% 9.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 19.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1