2. Division — Denmark
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:00 • Sparekassen Thy Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.54) 1.05 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.7% 29.8% 34.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Naestved
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thisted FC 0 12.0% 12.6% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThisted FCNaestved
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack35%59%
Defense82%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thisted FC Naestved
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins50%63%57%57%71%64%
Draws33%13%21%14%0%7%
Loses17%25%21%29%29%29%

Form: Thisted FC: WWDWWDWDLLWWLW • Naestved: WLWDWLLWWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Thisted FC Naestved
HATHAT
GF total9122191322
GF avg1.51.51.51.31.91.6
GA total48127815
GA avg0.71.00.91.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThisted FCNaestved
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%86%64%
1.557%21%57%36%
2.514%0%14%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThisted FCNaestved
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricThisted FCNaestved
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricThisted FCNaestved
Wins24
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-10-23-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricThisted FCNaestved
Form43%57%
Att38%63%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total46.5%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Naestved

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Thisted FC = 1.07 (league 1.54), Naestved = 1.05 (league 1.27)

Naestved
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thisted FC 0 12.0% 12.6% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1