Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:00 • Maiden Castle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.73) 1.82 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 21.3% 35.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 2.3% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.4% 8.1% 7.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.4% 8.0% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurham WNewcastle United W
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack35%50%
Defense65%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durham W Newcastle United W
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%25%29%0%50%29%
Draws33%0%14%67%25%43%
Loses33%75%57%33%25%29%

Form: Durham W: WLLDLWL • Newcastle United W: WDLLDDW

League goals

Metric Durham W Newcastle United W
HATHAT
GF total551031013
GF avg1.71.31.41.02.51.9
GA total3694812
GA avg1.01.51.31.32.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurham WNewcastle United W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%71%86%100%
1.529%57%71%43%
2.514%0%14%14%
3.50%0%14%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurham WNewcastle United W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricDurham WNewcastle United W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDurham WNewcastle United W
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-2—1-4
Biggest losses1-22-10-14-2
Goals For3224
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricDurham WNewcastle United W
Form44%56%
Att41%59%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total56.6%43.4%

Advice: Double chance : Durham W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ Betfair
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away1.53 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Durham W = 1.97 (league 1.73), Newcastle United W = 1.82 (league 1.37)

Newcastle United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durham W 0 2.3% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.4% 8.1% 7.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.4% 8.0% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 35.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1