Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Progresso
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.19)
1.67 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.0% | 24.2% | 57.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Piacenza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 8.4% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Progresso | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 82% |
| Defense | 45% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Progresso | Piacenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 10% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Loses | 60% | 60% | 60% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: Progresso: LLDLLWLDDL • Piacenza: WLDWDDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Progresso | Piacenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Progresso | Piacenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 90% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Progresso | Piacenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Progresso | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Progresso | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Progresso | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Piacenza
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 0.81 (league 1.19), Piacenza = 1.67 (league 1.15)
| Piacenza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 8.4% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 57.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1