Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Campo Estrela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.25) 0.84 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 26.9% 22.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 10.2% 8.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitano Évora 1911União Santarém
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack78%56%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 União Santarém
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins60%0%33%25%40%33%
Draws0%25%11%25%20%22%
Loses40%75%56%50%40%44%

Form: Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDWLLW • União Santarém: WLDLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 União Santarém
HATHAT
GF total9211347
GF avg1.80.51.20.80.80.8
GA total5510459
GA avg1.01.31.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitano Évora 1911União Santarém
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%56%67%
1.533%22%22%22%
2.522%0%0%11%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitano Évora 1911União Santarém
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricLusitano Évora 1911União Santarém
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLusitano Évora 1911União Santarém
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-23-0
Goals For4112
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricLusitano Évora 1911União Santarém
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or União Santarém

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitano Évora 1911 = 1.44 (league 1.25), União Santarém = 0.84 (league 0.95)

União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 10.2% 8.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 22.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1